Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | West Virginia Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +14 (72-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carleton Scott * | 39 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -6.1 |
| Ben Hansbrough * | 38 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | -10.7 |
| Tim Abromaitis * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -11.8 |
| Scott Martin * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Tyrone Nash * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -11.9 |
| Eric Atkins | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Jack Cooley | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Alex Dragicevich | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
| Joey Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Jones * | 40 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +20.5 |
| Joe Mazzulla * | 40 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +15.7 |
| John Flowers * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | +19.5 |
| Darryl Bryant * | 28 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 10-12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | +11.5 |
| Cam Thoroughman * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Deniz Kilicli | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +11.6 |
| Dalton Pepper | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -0.3 |
| Casey Mitchell | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +4.3 |
| Jonnie West | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.5 |
* = starter