Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (OH) RedHawks | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +1 (70-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Winbush * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Orlando Williams * | 39 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Julian Mavunga * | 37 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +0.3 |
| Allen Roberts * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Josh Sewell * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Chris McHenry | 22 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Jon Harris | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.6 |
| Drew McGhee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.7 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Andrey Semenov * | 37 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | -0.4 |
| Julius Wells * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Denzel Bowles * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Humpty Hitchens * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Chad Jackson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Trevon Flores | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.7 |
| Ben Louis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.5 |
* = starter