Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls +15 (67-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Charles Carmouche * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Tarik Black * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Joe Jackson * | 18 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | -12.6 |
| Drew Barham * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Antonio Barton | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -12.5 |
| Wesley Witherspoon | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Chris Crawford | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -7.6 |
| DJ Stephens | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Will Coleman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamir Jackson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +13.1 |
| Arsalan Kazemi * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 16 | +20.1 |
| Connor Frizzelle * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Bryan Beasley * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Lucas Kuipers * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Cory Pflieger | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +13.9 |
| Suleiman Braimoh | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Trey Stanton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3.2 |
| J.R. Reynolds | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Trevan Abraham | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3.2 |
| David Chadwick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Omar Oraby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Stuart Pirri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Nate Schwarze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter