Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brown Bears +10 (75-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mavraides | 38 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -16.0 |
| Ian Hummer | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | -8.9 |
| Kareem Maddox | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | -14.3 |
| Patrick Saunders | 29 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Douglas Davis | 26 | 2-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -6.3 |
| T.J. Bray | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10.6 |
| Mack Darrow | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Brendan Connolly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Ben Hazel | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Bobby Foley | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.8 |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill | 40 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +18.1 |
| Peter Sullivan | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 16-16 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | +14.0 |
| Garrett Leffelman | 35 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +19.5 |
| Tucker Halpern | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +20.2 |
| Andrew McCarthy | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Matt Sullivan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Adrian Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| Dockery Walker | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -13.4 |
| Josh Biber | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
* = starter