Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Columbia Lions -19 (42-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Wright * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | +11.4 |
| Brandyn Curry * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +14.8 |
| Oliver McNally * | 31 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +15.3 |
| Christian Webster * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +13.7 |
| Kyle Casey * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +9.4 |
| Laurent Rivard | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +5.7 |
| Matt Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Jeff Georgatos | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Andrew Van Nest | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Ugo Okam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Ernest Rouse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Dee Giger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
| Tom Hamel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Barbour * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Noruwa Agho * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -12.4 |
| Asenso Ampim * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -12.6 |
| Meiko Lyles * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Max Craig * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Danny Feldmann | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Steve Frankoski | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Zack Crimmins | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Dyami Starks | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Dean Kowalski | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Matt Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Steve Egee | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.5 |
* = starter