Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -2 (60-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Glover * | 40 | 4-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | +11.2 |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 38 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Chris Hines * | 32 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8.8 |
| Josh Watkins * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +15.1 |
| David Foster * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Jason Washburn | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +13.7 |
| Chris Kupets | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Antonio DiMaria | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | -6.0 |
| Tony Snell * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Phillip McDonald * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Kendall Williams * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Drew Gordon * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23 | -0.9 |
| Alex Kirk | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Jamal Fenton | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.3 |
| A.J. Hardeman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Chad Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter