Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -2 (80-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Beitzel * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | +3.9 |
| Elliott Lloyd * | 35 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +16.3 |
| Taylor Montgomery * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +11.3 |
| Chris Kaba * | 26 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +8.2 |
| Neal Kingman * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +7.0 |
| Mike Proctor | 19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Tate Unruh | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.6 |
| Emmanuel Addo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Paul Garnica | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.8 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernst Laroche * | 35 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | +9.0 |
| Bandja Sy * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -17.9 |
| Troy Gillenwater * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Tyrone Watson * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Hamidu Rahman * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -8.3 |
| Gordo Castillo | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Christian Kabongo | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Tshilidzi Nephawe | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +4.4 |
| B.J. West | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Renaldo Dixon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter