Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights -12 (65-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson | 35 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -4.9 |
| Umar Shannon | 34 | 8-12 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 21 | -2.8 |
| Tony Peters | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Anthony Ervin | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +14.0 |
| Scott Eatherton | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +8.5 |
| Sorena Orandi | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Will Felder | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Mislav Jukic | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Jon Taylor | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Kam Ritter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -12.8 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Scott | 32 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -4.1 |
| John Galvin | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | -2.6 |
| Kamil Svrdlik | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Terence Grier | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | -6.1 |
| DeShawn Dockery | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Briahn Smith | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +14.6 |
| Tyler Reynolds | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -11.6 |
| Mathias Seilund | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Ayotunde Oyeniyi | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Sam Fernley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Marco Porcher Jimenez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter