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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 โœ“ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (48-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Jackson * 38 5-19 2-8 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 13 -3 -
Joe Trapani * 35 3-11 2-6 5-8 8 0 1 0 1 13 10 -
Biko Paris * 26 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 3 3 0 4 5 4 -
Josh Southern * 19 2-4 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 1 7 8 -
Danny Rubin * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Corey Raji 33 3-10 2-7 0-0 6 4 2 0 1 8 9 -
Gabriel Moton 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
Dallas Elmore 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
John Cahill 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendall Marshall * 37 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 7 0 0 5 10 8 -
Harrison Barnes * 35 4-14 1-4 1-2 9 0 1 1 2 10 5 -
John Henson * 30 3-11 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 2 1 6 9 -
Tyler Zeller * 30 7-13 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 1 2 16 11 -
Dexter Strickland * 25 0-1 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
Reggie Bullock 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Leslie McDonald 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -
Justin Knox 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Justin Watts 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter