Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (48-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Jackson * | 38 | 5-19 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Joe Trapani * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Biko Paris * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Josh Southern * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Danny Rubin * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corey Raji | 33 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Moton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dallas Elmore | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| John Cahill Jr. | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| John Henson * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Knox | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Watts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter