Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -15 (50-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Ledbetter | 35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Brandon Wiley | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +12.2 |
| Kyle Barone | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +8.0 |
| Landon Tatum | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Shawn Henderson | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +11.3 |
| Luiz Toledo | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Deremy Geiger | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Stephen Madison | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Rush | 33 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Bobby Howard | 33 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Rod Singleton | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Danny Piepoli | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Shawn Reid | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -17.1 |
| Cody Anderson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -12.0 |
| Tre Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jourdain Allou | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Jeff Budinich | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Casey Trujeque | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Tor Anderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter