Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +5 (61-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrio Green | 31 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Javarris Barnett | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Jamar Briscoe | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7.1 |
| K.J. Sherrill | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -4.1 |
| An'Juan Wilderness | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -8.4 |
| Charles Dewhurst | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Chris Braswell | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Colby Lewis | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Gokhan Sirin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Cassity | 34 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Dwayne Evans | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +3.1 |
| Brian Conklin | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Mike McCall Jr. | 28 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Rob Loe | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Cory Remekun | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Jordair Jett | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Christian Salecich | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Paul Eckerle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
* = starter