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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 2 2 15 25 -
M. Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 3 14 20 -
J. Richmond * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 7 15 -
M. Tisdale * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 9 15 -
D.J. Richardson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Paul 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 12 19 -
B. Cole 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Leonard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
T. Griffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 25 29 -
K. Appling * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 1 9 17 -
D. Roe * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 1 8 19 -
M. Kebler * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
G. Sherman * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 8 -
D. Green 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 3 5 12 -
D. Summers 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
D. Nix 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 0 3 -
A. Payne 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
A. Thornton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter