Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| M. Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Richmond * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Paul | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| B. Cole | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Leonard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| K. Appling * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| D. Roe * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| M. Kebler * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Sherman * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. Summers | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Nix | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Payne | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter