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Model Predictions

Model Loyola Maryland Greyhounds Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“
Margin 53.4% 46.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“

Actual: Towson Tigers -18 (57-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Dylon Cormier * 32 5-8 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 10 8 +5.1
Robert Olson * 32 5-9 4-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 16 9 +8.6
Brian Rudolph * 29 2-8 0-2 0-0 7 7 0 0 2 4 8 +17.3
Erik Etherly * 26 6-10 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 0 1 12 10 +0.0
Shane Walker * 24 5-10 1-3 3-3 5 0 0 1 2 14 8 +22.2
Julius Brooks 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 +3.5
J'hared Hall 21 6-9 5-8 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 19 14 +12.0
Josh Wiegand 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6
Pierson Williams 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -0.2
Jamal Barney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Paolo Ivis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Luke Wandrusch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.0
Chido Onyiuke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Josh Brown * 40 3-12 0-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 3 8 2 -15.0
Isaiah Philmore * 38 8-15 0-1 4-5 5 0 0 1 0 20 11 -10.8
Braxton Dupree * 34 4-9 0-0 1-3 9 0 0 2 0 9 11 -14.9
Dre Conner * 34 1-3 1-2 4-4 0 3 0 0 1 7 6 -14.3
Brian Morris * 32 2-7 0-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 4 -14.1
RaShawn Polk 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.8
Danny Quinn 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -1.6
Erique Gumbs 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7

* = starter