Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | Boston University Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston University Terriers +8 (70-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Frazier * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | -3.0 |
| Greg Logins * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Gaby Belardo * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -7.4 |
| Julius Coles * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -12.5 |
| Alshwan Hymes * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -12.4 |
| Robert Goldsberry | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Reggie Groves | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Chris Manhertz | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Tomas Vazquez-Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.9 |
| Ashton Khan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Boston University Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Holland * | 38 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 16 | +16.6 |
| Darryl Partin * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +21.3 |
| D.J. Irving * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Patrick Hazel * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Dom Morris * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Matt Griffin | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +14.4 |
| Mike Terry Jr. | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Jeff Pelage | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Travis Robinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter