Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas City Roos | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars +15 (84-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson * | 38 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -5.9 |
| Reggie Chamberlain * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Max Rockmann * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Jay Couisnard * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Trinity Hall * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Bakari Lewis | 25 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -10.5 |
| Dustin Dibble | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4 | +6.1 |
| Michael Gholston Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Trevor Mason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 13 | +10.1 |
| Leroy Nobles * | 34 | 11-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 23 | -2.0 |
| Christian Siakam * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +9.7 |
| John Ashworth * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -16.9 |
| Sean Esposito * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Stephen Thomas | 25 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +16.5 |
| Nick DeSchepper | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Donovan Gibbs | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Anthony Williams | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Nick Kitcoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Mitch Patton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| David Mazanowski | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
* = starter