Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames -27 (52-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Howard | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +5.2 |
| Andrew Smith | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +7.4 |
| Shelvin Mack | 28 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Shawn Vanzant | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Chase Stigall | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +10.2 |
| Ronald Nored | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Khyle Marshall | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Zach Hahn | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Chrishawn Hopkins | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Erik Fromm | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Grant Leiendecker | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Alex Anglin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Emerson Kampen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robo Kreps | 37 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Paul Carter | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Corey Gray | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.6 |
| K.C. Robbins | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +9.4 |
| Dipanjot Singh | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -4.1 |
| Brad Birton | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +7.1 |
| Dorian Tyler | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -6.4 |
| Paris Carter | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrin Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.0 |
| Jimmy Harding | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Eddie Denard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Anthony Kelley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Shawn King | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Arman Rasul | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter