Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +1 (61-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Brown * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Rahmon Fletcher * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Daniel Turner * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Steve Baker * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +11.8 |
| Jarvis Williams * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +9.3 |
| Bryquis Perine | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | -8.4 |
| Seth Evans | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Greg LeSage | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Kam Cerroni | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.8 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Seck * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | -3.1 |
| Carlton Fay * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +3.8 |
| John Freeman * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Diamond Taylor * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Justin Bocot | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Mykel Cleveland | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Jack Crowder | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Davante Drinkard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Nate Mitchell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter