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Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Margin 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -2 (58-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jack Eggleston * 38 4-12 0-2 1-2 10 4 0 1 2 9 10 +4.4
Zack Rosen * 38 3-6 0-1 2-2 6 7 0 0 1 8 14 +8.4
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 37 5-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 10 5 -3.0
Tyler Bernardini * 34 7-13 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 16 6 +0.2
Mike Howlett * 28 5-10 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 3 1 11 7 -1.0
Andreas Schreiber 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 +3.5
Rob Belcore 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 +10.6
Zack Gordon 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.4
Fran Dougherty 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.5
Darren Smith 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.7

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Greg Mangano * 37 11-17 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 2 2 26 21 +3.4
Austin Morgan * 35 1-6 1-2 2-2 2 6 2 0 2 5 7 -7.5
Porter Braswell * 34 4-10 2-6 3-5 3 2 2 0 2 13 8 +3.8
Reggie Willhite * 34 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 5 0 0 2 7 8 +3.3
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -11.3
Jesse Pritchard 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 +5.4
Sam Martin 8 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8
Isaiah Salafia 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -7.5
Rhett Anderson 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -8.4
Michael Grace 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.7

* = starter