Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -7 (61-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Von Willis * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Chace Stanback * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +9.2 |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 32 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +5.9 |
| Anthony Marshall * | 28 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +11.6 |
| Quintrell Thomas * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +13.0 |
| Justin Hawkins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Derrick Jasper | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Brice Massamba | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Ogide * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -0.7 |
| Dorian Green * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Greg Smith * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -3.8 |
| Adam Nigon * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Travis Franklin * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Wes Eikmeier | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +9.8 |
| Pierce Hornung | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Jesse Carr | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Will Bell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Andre McFarland | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter