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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% -
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis * 37 3-12 1-4 2-4 5 8 1 0 1 9 10 -
C. Stanback * 35 4-10 2-4 2-2 11 1 2 0 3 12 13 -
O. Bellfield * 32 6-16 4-8 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 18 8 -
A. Marshall * 28 7-11 1-2 1-2 6 3 2 0 3 16 13 -
Q. Thomas * 19 1-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
J. Hawkins 15 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Jasper 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Massamba 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ogide * 35 6-9 0-2 7-10 7 1 0 0 2 19 16 -
D. Green * 33 3-8 0-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
G. Smith * 24 2-8 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 4 -2 -
A. Nigon * 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
T. Franklin * 16 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 2 0 5 0 -1 -
W. Eikmeier 28 5-8 2-3 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 13 8 -
P. Hornung 26 3-5 0-1 1-1 5 0 2 1 1 7 9 -
J. Carr 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
W. Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter