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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% - โœ—
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 โœ— (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -17 (60-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brad Tinsley * 33 5-7 2-4 4-4 1 3 1 0 0 16 14 -
Jeffery Taylor * 32 7-13 1-2 5-6 10 3 0 1 3 20 18 -
John Jenkins * 30 7-15 5-11 3-3 3 2 3 0 4 22 11 -
Rod Odom * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Festus Ezeli * 18 1-2 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 5 3 6 8 -
Steve Tchiengang 22 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
Kyle Fuller 17 1-2 0-0 2-5 3 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
Lance Goulbourne 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Andre Walker 11 2-4 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Meriwether 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Smart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Duffy 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Earnest Ross * 36 5-8 3-5 6-7 10 5 2 0 6 19 22 -
Josh Wallace * 36 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 7 4 0 3 2 5 -
Kenny Gabriel * 29 5-10 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 1 3 13 6 -
Allen Payne * 25 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 -2 -
Adrian Forbes * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Chris Denson 22 3-6 0-0 1-4 0 0 2 0 0 7 3 -
Rob Chubb 15 2-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -
Josh Langford 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
Ty Armstrong 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter