Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears -8 (62-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bernardini | 35 | 10-17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | +11.6 |
| Miles Jackson-Cartwright | 35 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Jack Eggleston | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Zack Rosen | 34 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +13.7 |
| Mike Howlett | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -9.1 |
| Rob Belcore | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9.5 |
| Andreas Schreiber | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Fran Dougherty | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Dau Jok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Zack Gordon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Steve Rennard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Darren Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill | 38 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Tucker Halpern | 31 | 4-15 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -13.9 |
| Adrian Williams | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Garrett Leffelman | 25 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | +0.7 |
| Peter Sullivan | 25 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Andrew McCarthy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Dockery Walker | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Matt Sullivan | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -13.9 |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter