Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Columbia Lions +7 (67-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Melville * | 31 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +8.5 |
| R.J. Griffin * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Clive Weeden * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6.2 |
| David Rufful * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Jabari Trotter * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Ronnie Dixon | 26 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Gediminas Bertasius | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +6.9 |
| Nick Jackson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Mbiyimoh Ghogomu | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Matt LaBove | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -10.1 |
| James Herring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noruwa Agho * | 37 | 9-23 | 0-5 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Brian Barbour * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +8.2 |
| Asenso Ampim * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Steve Frankoski * | 16 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -5.8 |
| Mark Cisco * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Meiko Lyles | 27 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Max Craig | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Matt Johnson | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Dean Kowalski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
* = starter