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2011-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Melville * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 20 26 -
R.J. Griffin * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
C. Weeden * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 7 -
D. Rufful * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Trotter * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
R. Dixon 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 4 14 19 -
G. Bertasius 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
N. Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Ghogomu 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. LaBove 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Herring 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 1 0 2 19 32 -
B. Barbour * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 8 13 -
A. Ampim * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 3 3 10 23 -
S. Frankoski * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. Cisco * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
M. Lyles 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 11 18 -
M. Craig 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 9 17 -
M. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 13 -
D. Kowalski 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter