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2011-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 51.0% 49.0% -1.2 โœ— (14.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 59.7% 40.3% - โœ—
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +13 (71-58). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 39 3-10 1-3 9-11 6 3 1 0 3 16 13 -
Alex Oriakhi * 33 5-8 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 1 13 13 -
Roscoe Smith * 29 1-5 0-1 2-3 7 0 1 0 3 4 4 -
Jeremy Lamb * 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
Charles Okwandu * 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Shabazz Napier 23 1-7 1-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 4 0 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 23 6-8 2-2 2-3 6 0 0 2 3 16 13 -
Tyler Olander 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Niels Giffey 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Donnell Beverly 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Enosch Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peyton Siva * 35 7-14 1-3 0-0 2 4 6 1 2 15 12 -
Preston Knowles * 34 2-13 1-5 1-2 3 7 1 0 2 6 2 -
Kyle Kuric * 30 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
Stephan Van Treese * 19 0-1 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 0 1 1 8 -
Terrence Jennings * 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Gorgui Dieng 29 5-9 0-0 3-7 12 2 1 1 0 13 20 -
Chris Smith 18 4-8 1-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 11 11 -
Rakeem Buckles 13 3-4 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 9 9 -
Mike Marra 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Elisha Justice 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter