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2011-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker 39 3-10 1-3 9-11 6 3 1 0 3 16 13 -
A. Oriakhi 33 5-8 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 1 13 13 -
R. Smith 29 1-5 0-1 2-3 7 0 1 0 3 4 4 -
J. Lamb 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 23 6-8 2-2 2-3 6 0 0 2 3 16 13 -
S. Napier 23 1-7 1-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 4 0 -
C. Okwandu 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
T. Olander 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Beverly 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
N. Giffey 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
E. Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Siva 35 7-14 1-3 0-0 2 4 6 1 2 15 12 -
P. Knowles 34 2-13 1-5 1-2 3 7 1 0 2 6 2 -
K. Kuric 30 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
G. Dieng 29 5-9 0-0 3-7 12 2 1 1 0 13 20 -
S. Van Treese 19 0-1 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 0 1 1 8 -
C. Smith 18 4-8 1-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 11 11 -
R. Buckles 13 3-4 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 9 9 -
T. Jennings 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
M. Marra 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Justice 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter