Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs -7 (51-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mavraides * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Douglas Davis * | 37 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | +11.1 |
| Patrick Saunders * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Ian Hummer * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Brendan Connolly * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Kareem Maddox | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +10.3 |
| Mack Darrow | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| T.J. Bray | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Ben Hazel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Mangano * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 15 | -3.5 |
| Reggie Willhite * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -6.5 |
| Austin Morgan * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -11.1 |
| Porter Braswell * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -9.4 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -6.9 |
| Rhett Anderson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Michael Grace | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.6 |
| Sam Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Isaiah Salafia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter