Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +16 (62-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hughey | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Scott Bamforth | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -11.0 |
| Trevor Morris | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -14.1 |
| Kyle Bullinger | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -17.4 |
| Byron Fulton | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Darin Mahoney | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Jordan Richardson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.3 |
| B.J. Porter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Kyle Tresnak | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Blake Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Shamburger | 38 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +14.6 |
| Wil Carter | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | +10.1 |
| Justin Graham | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +20.4 |
| Matt Ballard | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +15.2 |
| Calvin Douglas | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -1.5 |
| Adrian Oliver | 20 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | +5.9 |
| Joe Henson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Chris Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Garrett Ton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Aalim Moor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
* = starter