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2011-02-17

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% -
Margin 72.4% 27.6% -5.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 32 3-5 1-2 7-10 5 2 2 0 0 14 18 -
M. Williams * 31 5-13 2-7 6-11 5 3 2 0 1 18 14 -
A. Caloiaro * 31 6-10 4-8 2-4 7 0 1 0 0 18 16 -
R. Green * 24 5-8 1-3 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 13 14 -
M. Diarra * 24 2-8 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 1 4 9 4 -
M. Petrovic 22 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 3 1 0 0 3 5 -
A. Johnson 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Raffington 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
C. Dickerson 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mitrovic * 36 9-18 4-9 4-4 6 2 0 0 3 26 13 -
T. Douglas * 34 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 7 0 0 1 10 10 -
L. Sikma * 33 2-7 0-0 2-6 10 4 3 0 3 6 13 -
J. Stohl * 30 3-6 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 10 -
K. Knutson * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Barker 17 4-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 8 3 -
T. Riley 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
R. Nicholas 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
J. Hannibal 9 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Waterford 6 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter