๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-17

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stepheson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 0 10 22 -
N. Vucevic * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 0 21 35 -
J. Fontan * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 8 12 -
M. Jones * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 22 27 -
M. Simmons * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 8 16 -
D. Smith 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 4 6 -
G. Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harper Kamp * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 2 16 26 -
Jorge Gutierrez * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 13 20 -
Brandon Smith * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 10 14 -
Markhuri Sanders-Frison * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 1 23 34 -
Jeff Powers * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 10 14 -
Richard Solomon 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 8 -
Emerson Murray 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -
Bak Bak 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Nigel Carter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter