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Morehead State Eagles 76
@
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 68
2011-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Eastern Kentucky Colonels Spread Result
Elo 87.4% 12.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 77.2% 22.8% - ✓
Margin 80.1% 19.9% -7.7 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - ✓

Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenneth Faried * 42 10-15 0-0 3-5 15 0 0 5 3 23 25 -
Ty Proffitt * 41 2-6 1-4 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 11 11 -
Demonte Harper * 39 8-17 3-4 2-7 11 4 2 1 4 21 18 -
Terrance Hill * 26 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 6 1 -
Drew Kelly * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Sam Goodman 32 6-10 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 13 7 -
Lamont Austin 28 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 2 7 -

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones * 39 7-15 5-9 5-5 2 4 1 0 2 24 14 -
J. Stommes * 38 4-9 4-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 12 6 -
S. Perrin * 37 5-11 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 11 5 -
J. Daniel * 37 4-10 2-7 3-4 2 1 2 0 0 13 8 -
J. Johnson * 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
T. Filipek 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Allgood 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
W. Cruz 8 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Jones 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
J. Newby 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter