Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P. Knowles * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Jennings * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| P. Siva * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Van Treese * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Smith | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Marra | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Buckles | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| G. Dieng | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| E. Justice | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Bishop * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cashmere Wright * | 29 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Larry Davis * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Darnell Wilks * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ibrahima Thomas * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Yancy Gates | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dion Dixon | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter