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2011-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% -
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 35 4-9 1-4 0-0 8 1 1 1 3 9 8 -
P. Knowles * 31 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 9 5 -
T. Jennings * 28 7-10 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 14 10 -
P. Siva * 22 2-6 1-3 3-5 3 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
S. Van Treese * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Smith 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Marra 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 -
R. Buckles 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
G. Dieng 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 3 0 1 6 -
E. Justice 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bishop * 30 3-5 1-2 1-2 6 1 3 1 1 8 13 -
C. Wright * 29 7-15 2-6 4-5 3 2 2 0 2 20 10 -
L. Davis * 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Wilks * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
I. Thomas * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Y. Gates 30 2-8 0-0 4-6 6 2 1 2 0 8 11 -
D. Dixon 23 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 3 2 3 -
S. Kilpatrick 23 5-8 2-4 6-7 2 0 2 0 1 18 13 -
J. Jackson 20 1-2 0-0 1-3 4 3 1 0 1 3 8 -

* = starter