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Michigan Wolverines 52
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 54
2011-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% - ✗
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.4% 66.6% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 7 16 -
S. Douglass * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 10 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 10 17 -
D. Morris * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 0 0 1 11 23 -
J. Morgan * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 12 21 -
E. Smotrycz 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Vogrich 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Christian 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Horford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 5 1 1 2 8 23 -
D. McCamey * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 18 19 -
D.J. Richardson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
B. Paul * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 5 9 -
B. Cole * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Richmond 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 6 12 -
M. Tisdale 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 12 21 -
M. Leonard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -

* = starter