Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Mishler | 30 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 25 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Austin Hill | 24 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Justin Clark | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey Blue | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| John Wilkins | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kenyon Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Young | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Manigat | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Korver | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. McDermott | 28 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| G. Echenique | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 19 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Runnels | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Ashford | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Ferrarini | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Dorwart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Sebastian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stormberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter