Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gary * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| T. Snell * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Williams * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Bairstow * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. McDonald | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Kirk | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Fenton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Adams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 40 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 38 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| B. White * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Tapley | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter