Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenny Daniel * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Vinnie McGhee * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Raymond Cody * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Allen Jiles * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mitchell * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Lizarraga | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Greene | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Aqeel Quinn | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rashaun McLemore | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| John Hayward-Mayhew | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Jacobs | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dathan Lyles | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Frankie Eteuati | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Lewis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - |
| David Hanson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Will Donahue * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drake U'u | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ben Eisenhardt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Pembleton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ben Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter