🐻⬇️🏀

Cal State Northridge Matadors 49
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 72
2011-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 ✓ (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.9% 72.1% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Daniel * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 1 18 29 -
V. McGhee * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 3 6 -
R. Cody * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 6 4 -
A. Jiles IV * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mitchell * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lizarraga 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Greene 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
A. Quinn 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
R. McLemore 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
J. Hayward-Mayhew 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Jacobs 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Lyles 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
F. Eteuati 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lewis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 1 20 32 -
D. Hanson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 10 19 -
W. Donahue * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 8 13 -
M. Love * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 5 13 -
C. O'Brien * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 9 17 -
J. Lewis 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. U'u 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 9 13 -
J. Johnson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
B. Eisenhardt 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 7 -
M. Titchenal 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
R. Pembleton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
D. Royer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Kelly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter