Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Lowenthal * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | - |
| Mark Payne * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Joe Harden * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Les | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mike Kurtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Carter * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Aaron Broussard * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Garrett Lever * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Alex Jones * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Gavin Gilmore * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cervante Burrell | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Chad Rasmussen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Fredrick Wilson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Stevens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Durham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter