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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +7 (49-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 4 12 -
M. Lyons * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 12 14 -
T. Fletcher * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
T. Broekhuis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 0 2 -
T. Fow * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
D. Brooks 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 12 20 -
T. Stewart 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Z. Bohannon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 5 6 -
M. Fitzgerald 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hempsey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 11 -
C. Stanback * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 4 12 -
A. Marshall * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 4 10 -
T. Willis * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 13 20 -
Q. Thomas * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 6 3 -
J. Hawkins 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 4 11 -
D. Jasper 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 1 3 -
B. Massamba 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 7 8 -

* = starter