Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Holliday * | 37 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| A. Wright * | 34 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Shunnar * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Griffin * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 | - |
| D. Dear * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Z. Leahy | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Chadwell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Humes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Wonnell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bond * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 29 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Randy Davis * | 26 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jarrod Jones * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Malik Perry * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Pierre Sneed | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tyrae Robinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jesse Berry | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Zach Fields | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter