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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders -5 (61-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan White * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 4 0 4 21 30 -
Cameron Johnson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 3 1 3 21 30 -
Tony Bishop * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 3 10 19 -
John Bowman * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Travis Jones * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Eddie Rios 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 4 8 -
Brooks Ybarra 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 11 -
Matt Staff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 0 4 -
J.B. Conley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Reid Koenen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garland Judkins * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 3 0 4 10 21 -
Demond Watt * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 10 14 -
Justin Reynolds * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 5 16 21 -
Horace Bond * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 0 6 -
Terence Jones * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 1 -
C. Hawkins-Mast 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 10 17 -
Jawan Nelson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 11 -
Antonio Topps 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jaamon Echols 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Hollis Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter