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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kalin Lucas * 36 7-15 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 14 4 -
Draymond Green * 31 3-7 2-3 2-2 6 4 1 0 4 10 10 -
Keith Appling * 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 4 7 -
Garrick Sherman * 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
Durrell Summers * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Mike Kebler 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
Austin Thornton 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Derrick Nix 11 3-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Adreian Payne 11 4-7 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Delvon Roe 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 40 9-15 3-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 23 15 -
Jon Diebler * 39 2-7 2-7 6-6 3 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
David Lighty * 38 4-9 1-4 3-6 6 3 1 0 1 12 12 -
Jared Sullinger * 27 3-8 0-0 5-6 2 1 2 0 2 11 6 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Aaron Craft 35 1-7 0-2 5-7 3 4 4 0 2 7 9 -
Deshaun Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter