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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% -
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 6.7% 93.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Harris * 31 1-12 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 4 -2 -
T. McKie * 30 3-11 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 7 3 -
J.T. Terrell * 26 6-10 4-8 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 18 8 -
G. Clark * 26 3-8 1-4 6-6 3 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
C. Desrosiers * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Walker 30 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 4 0 8 11 -
A. Stewart 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 3 2 -
T. Chennault 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
N. Mescheriakov 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. Ingle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Godwin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Keenan 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Strickland * 31 0-6 0-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Marshall * 28 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 8 1 0 2 3 10 -
H. Barnes * 28 7-20 1-8 2-2 4 4 1 1 0 17 7 -
J. Henson * 28 5-11 0-0 4-10 13 2 1 5 1 14 23 -
T. Zeller * 27 6-9 0-0 6-6 9 0 1 0 2 18 17 -
L. McDonald 16 3-9 2-6 5-6 7 2 1 0 2 13 12 -
R. Bullock Jr. 14 2-7 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Knox 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 2 -
J. Watts 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
V. Hatchell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Crouch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bolick 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter