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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 85.7% 14.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Margin 80.2% 19.8% -7.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“

Actual: Towson Tigers -11 (61-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Bowles * 36 14-20 0-0 12-17 5 2 1 0 1 40 27 -
Devon Moore * 36 5-8 0-1 4-6 8 5 3 0 3 14 19 -
H. Hitchens * 32 1-2 1-1 0-1 4 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
Andrey Semenov * 32 4-9 1-3 2-2 4 1 2 1 2 11 8 -
Julius Wells * 30 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 0 2 -
Chad Jackson 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
Trevon Flores 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Ben Louis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Philmore * 39 5-12 1-2 7-8 8 1 0 0 0 18 15 -
RaShawn Polk * 34 5-13 3-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 13 4 -
Josh Brown * 32 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -5 -
Brian Morris * 24 2-5 0-3 1-1 1 4 0 0 2 5 3 -
Braxton Dupree * 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 4 3 -
Dre Conner 31 3-6 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
Erique Gumbs 12 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 7 7 -
Danny Quinn 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter