Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Riley Benock * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kodi Augustus * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 27 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ravern Johnson | 25 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Reik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaun Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doron Lamb * | 38 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Josh Harrellson * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Darius Miller | 33 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Eloy Vargas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jon Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter