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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 17.8% 82.2% -
Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bost * 39 5-12 3-7 3-5 3 4 2 0 5 16 8 -
R. Benock * 34 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 3 3 0 2 2 7 -
K. Augustus * 34 3-8 0-1 4-4 7 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
R. Sidney * 28 5-13 0-2 1-1 8 2 2 0 1 11 9 -
J. Steele * 27 6-9 5-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 17 10 -
R. Johnson 25 5-9 4-5 7-7 5 0 0 0 5 21 12 -
W. Lewis 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Reik 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Bryant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lamb * 38 7-8 3-3 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 20 11 -
B. Knight * 38 8-15 3-7 5-7 3 7 0 0 4 24 15 -
T. Jones * 35 7-11 0-1 3-5 10 5 2 0 2 17 21 -
J. Harrellson * 35 4-8 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 2 0 9 11 -
D. Liggins * 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Miller 33 5-9 3-7 0-0 0 1 2 2 0 13 9 -
E. Vargas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter