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2011-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.5% 13.5% - โœ“
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fraley * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 1 1 25 38 -
T. Edmondson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 4 14 19 -
W. Triggs * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 14 23 -
C. Brown * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 6 0 3 11 20 -
J. Blake * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Terry 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 0 5 17 -
T. Caldwell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Baker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Murphy * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 1 2 22 34 -
Jeremy Bynum * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 15 20 -
Stephen Hall * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 7 12 -
Brian Williams * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 9 12 -
B.J. Miller * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 2 12 16 -
Brice Jenkins 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 0 6 -
Sean Thurston 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 7 3 0 7 -
Frankie Bougher 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Nick Cook 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 6 -
LeVentrice Gray 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter