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2011-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Savannah State Tigers The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 โœ— (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joshua Montgomery * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 15 22 -
Jovonni Shuler * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 24 28 -
P. Blackman * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 0 1 13 24 -
Jyles Smith * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 3 4 13 -
Stephen Wilson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Keierre Richards 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Cedric Smith 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 13 -
Christopher Spears 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
Darnel Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Urbanus * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 17 25 -
Austin Dahn * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 6 15 -
Cameron Wells * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 1 2 9 20 -
Bo Holston * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 3 7 -
Bryan Streeter * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 12 -
Mike Groselle 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 15 18 -
Daniel Eykyn 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 5 11 -
DeVontae Wright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nathan Conley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter