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2011-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% -
Bradley-Terry 2.8% 97.2% -
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.8% 28.2% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Morningstar * 35 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 6 8 -
T. Reed * 31 3-6 0-1 8-9 2 4 3 0 2 14 15 -
M. Morris Sr. * 24 4-8 0-1 5-7 3 2 3 1 4 13 10 -
T. Taylor * 22 3-6 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 6 8 -1 -
M. Morris * 20 1-3 0-1 1-4 0 1 0 2 2 3 1 -
M. Little 27 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
J. Selby 11 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 4 1 -
J. Withey 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
T. Releford 10 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
E. Johnson 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Juenemann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pullen * 37 9-17 5-6 15-19 3 5 2 1 4 38 28 -
R. McGruder * 33 4-6 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 10 8 -
C. Kelly * 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 1 5 6 9 -
J. Samuels * 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
S. Southwell * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
W. Spradling 29 3-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 9 7 -
J. Henriquez 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
M. Irving 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Russell 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Myles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Potuzak 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Ojeleye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Peterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter