Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. White * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Franklin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thomas * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Jasper | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter