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2011-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaceDarius Dunn * 38 11-26 2-8 2-3 4 0 1 0 4 26 1 -
Perry Jones * 34 6-13 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 13 6 -
Anthony Jones * 32 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 5 7 -
A.J. Walton * 32 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 5 3 0 3 3 5 -
J'mison Morgan * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
Quincy Acy 28 3-8 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Fred Ellis 19 2-5 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Stargell Love 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Hamilton * 38 7-14 1-5 2-3 7 0 0 1 3 17 8 -
Tristan Thompson * 36 5-9 0-0 7-14 13 0 2 3 2 17 24 -
Gary Johnson * 35 4-8 0-0 5-8 7 2 0 1 3 13 12 -
Cory Joseph * 35 3-8 1-2 4-4 2 2 0 1 1 11 7 -
Dogus Balbay * 23 0-3 0-0 0-1 4 2 1 1 0 0 5 -
J'Covan Brown 24 3-10 1-3 4-7 3 1 3 0 2 11 6 -
Alexis Wangmene 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Matt Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter