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2011-02-12

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.8% 30.2% -
Log Adjusted 69.5% 30.5% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 35 4-9 0-3 10-11 2 3 3 0 3 18 14 -
J. Henson * 32 6-12 1-1 1-2 12 2 1 4 1 14 20 -
T. Zeller * 30 3-8 0-0 4-6 7 0 1 1 1 10 10 -
H. Barnes * 28 7-13 1-5 5-8 5 1 0 0 2 20 11 -
D. Strickland * 22 0-2 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 -
L. McDonald 22 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 1 3 -
R. Bullock Jr. 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Knox 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Watts 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stitt * 37 5-14 2-7 5-6 7 3 0 0 4 17 9 -
A. Young * 34 4-12 1-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 9 3 -
T. Smith * 33 4-8 2-4 1-2 7 4 2 0 1 11 15 -
D. Booker * 19 0-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Grant * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 0 -1 -
M. Jennings 30 6-14 2-7 1-3 12 0 2 2 5 15 12 -
B. Narcisse 18 2-3 2-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
Z. Anderson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
C. Baciu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Stanton 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter